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Lately, my private messages have mostly fallen into two categories: those from people wanting to continue learning and consolidating their knowledge during this downturn, and those discussing bull-bear cycles. I reply thoughtfully to all the more attentive readers.
Regarding cycles, everyone's understanding and definition of a bear market differs. In my view, only a sustained downward trend lasting more than a year and with a drop exceeding 50% can be considered a bear market cycle; both conditions must be met simultaneously.

Murphy
@Murphychen888
12-10
在11/22-11/23期间,BTC的PSIP(盈利供应百分比)曾经一度跌破了65%的“荣枯线”,当时这是一个比较危险的信号,因为即便在21年5.19事件发生后,BTC在一轮急跌也未让PSIP低于这根线。直到22年4月最终跌破后,BTC才实质性的踏入深熊阶段。 x.com/Murphychen888/…





The teacher's words were very helpful.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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