The new order of stablecoins: the battle between market, technology and sovereignty

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PANews
05-28
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PART00 Preface

Stablecoins, as the core component connecting traditional finance and the crypto asset ecosystem, are continuously rising in strategic importance. From the earliest centralized custody model (USDT, USDC) to today's protocol-issued stablecoins driven by on-chain synthetic and algorithmic mechanisms (such as Ethena's USDe), the market structure has fundamentally changed.

Meanwhile, the demand for stablecoins from DeFi, RWA, LSD, and even Layer 2 networks is rapidly expanding, further promoting the formation of a new ofex, competition among multiple models.

This is no longer segmentation, but a competition about the ""future form of digital currency" and "on-chain settlement standards". This report focuses on the current stablecoin market's main trends and structural characteristics, systematically combing through mainstream projects' operating mechanisms, market performance, on-chain activity, and policy environment, helping to effectively understand the sttheablecoins' evolution trends and future competitive landscape.

PART01 Stablecoin Market Trends

1.1 Global Stablecoin Total Market Cap and Growth Trend

As of May 26, 2025, the global stablecoin total market cap has risen to approximately $246.382 billion (about 2.46 trillion yuan), growing about 4,927.64% from around $5 billion in 2019, showing an explosive growth trend.. This trend not only demonstrates the rapid expansion of stablecoins in the the crypto cryptocurrency ecosystem but their increasingly irreplaceable position in payment, trading, and decentralized finance (DeFi) domains.

In 2025, the stablecoin market continues to maintain high-speed growth, rising 78.02% compared to the $138.4 billion market cap in 2023, currently occupying 7.04% of the total cryptocurrency market cap, further consolidifyingating market position.

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As a stablecoin fully based on crypto assets, USDE does not rely on the traditional financial system, which is significantly attractive to users seeking decentralization, especially in regions where traditional financial services are limited or restricted.

Growth in Market Demand

With the expansion of the DeFi and cryptocurrency ecosystem, the demand for stablecoins continues to increase. As an innovative and fully decentralized stablecoin, USDE meets the market's demand for new stablecoin solutions.

Institutional Support and Collaboration

Ethena Labs' collaboration with well-known crypto investment institutions (such as Dragonfly Capital, Delphi Ventures) and exchanges (like Binance) has enhanced market confidence and liquidity for USDE.

Marketing and Community Engagement

Through effective marketing strategies and community incentive programs (such as airdrops of governance token ENA), Ethena Labs quickly attracted the attention of users and developers, promoting the adoption of USDE.

2.4 Challenges of Emerging Stablecoins

USD1: Issued by World Liberty Financial (WLFI), with a market cap of $2.133 billion, ranking 7th, its market cap surged from $128 million to $2.133 billion in just one week, showing rapid growth momentum.

WLFI, associated with the Trump family, received a $200 million investment from Binance and MGX, enhancing institutional endorsement. The New Money report noted that USD1 was chosen as a settlement currency for major transactions, such as Pakistan government cooperation projects, further enhancing its market influence.

USD1 is expanding rapidly through exclusive agreements and institutional adoption, but its political background may pose regulatory risks.

USD0: Issued by the Usual platform, with a market cap of $641 million, ranking 12th. According to Usual Blog, it attracts users through the USUAL token incentive mechanism, allowing holders to participate in governance and share platform revenues.

USD0 combines the low volatility of stablecoins with the yield potential of DeFi, attracting users focused on decentralized innovation.

USD0's unique positioning in the DeFi ecosystem brings growth potential, but it needs to improve market awareness and liquidity.

Emerging stablecoins challenge the market through differentiation strategies (such as institutional endorsement or DeFi incentives), but it is difficult to shake the dominance of USDT and USDC in the short term.

PART03 Analysis and Comparison of Mainstream Stablecoins

This section provides a systematic analysis and comparison of the top five stablecoins by market cap (USDT, USDC, DAI, USDE, USD1) from dimensions such as mechanism structure, asset support type, liquidity and application scenarios, and risk points.

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Advantages: Low transaction fees and high concurrency performance make TRON the preferred USDT payment choice in Southeast Asia and Latin America.

Activity: Monthly active addresses reached 76.64 million, with over 64 million monthly transactions and transaction volume exceeding $60 billion, leading all chains.

High Stickiness: DAU over 1 million, with a MAU/DAU ratio of 76, indicating most users are low-frequency "payment-type" accounts.

2. Ethereum: High-net-worth user concentration, transaction amount far ahead

USDC/USDT dominate: USDC monthly transaction volume reaches $53.91 billion, USDT at $28.09 billion.

High average transaction amount: USDC at $86,000 per transaction, USDT at $38,000, far higher than other chains.

Drawback: High gas costs, causing retail users to shift to Layer 2 or low-fee chains like TRON and BSC.

3. Solana: Stablecoin transaction volume rapidly rising

USDC dominates: Monthly transaction volume of 171 million, with nearly 7 million active addresses.

USDT transactions also improving, showing high volume but smaller amounts.

Ecosystem-driven: DEX ecosystems like Jupiter and Phoenix generate high-frequency trading scenarios.

4. BSC: USDT and USDC transactions balanced, massive active users

Broad user base: Active addresses of 9.4 million (USDT) and 2.4 million (USDC).

Frequent but low-amount transactions: Around $1,000 per transaction, closer to retail user usage.

Dependent on CEX/Binance: Stablecoin activity largely relies on Binance ecosystem traffic.

It's evident that USDT remains the absolute leader, especially on TRON and BSC for cross-border payments and OTC clearing. USDC shows strong performance in high-value transfers and Solana's DeFi ecosystem, widely used by institutions institutions and developers. Other new stablecoins like USDE are rapidly growing, though currently with low activity, attracting market attention with the "yield stablecoin" model. Additionally, Solana is growing fastest, with stablecoin usage expected to match BSC within the year, gradually eroding its market share.

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Judgment: The core of future stablecoin competition is not "whose dollar is the most stable," but who can become the "preferred settlement asset" and "payment entry" for DeFi protocols and on-chain economic systems.

6.3 Narrative Upgrade and Ecosystem Binding: From "Stability" to "Network Native Monetary Layer"

With the rise of AI Agents, RWA mapping, and on-chain settlement accounts, the stablecoin narrative is also upgrading:

From "trading pair" to "liquidity engine": Stablecoins are replacing ETH/BTC as the absolute axis of liquidity pools; projects like Ethena USD and USD0 that emphasize "endogenous productivity and system control" will become the new generation of DeFi "base currencies".

Deeper binding with RWA: In the future, stablecoins will not only map T-Bills but will also deeply integrate with on-chain government bonds, on-chain credit bonds, and on-chain commercial paper; players like Circle, Ondo, and Matrixdock are promoting a "on-chain bonds + stablecoin" dual-wheel model.

The "settlement base" in the on-chain account system: After the rise of Account Abstraction, MPC wallets, and Layer 2 payment networks, stablecoins will become the default asset for AI Agent payment accounts; for example: Agent takes a task → automatically claims stablecoins → completes task → stablecoin settlement → AI continues execution, with stablecoins becoming the "agent-native currency".

PART07 Conclusion

Stablecoins have evolved from early transaction mediums to the liquidity cornerstone and value anchoring core of the entire crypto economy. Whether mainstream centralized stablecoins (USDT, USDC), decentralized stablecoins (DAI, LUSD), or structurally innovative AI-driven synthetic coins (USDE, USD0), they are continuously exploring the balance of stability, security, and scalability.

The development of stablecoins not only reflects the technological innovation and institutional evolution of Web3 but is also becoming part of the global monetary system's digitization. In the future, stablecoins will no longer be "crypto versions of the dollar," but bridges in a multi-centric financial world, carriers of credit and autonomy experiments.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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