Written by: Alertforalpha
Translated by: Plain Blockchain
90% of cryptocurrency investment is waiting, 10% is fireworks. You have to endure the long bear market, boring sideways oscillation, and life-questioning false breakouts. But then... bang! Everything aligns. Liquidity surges, macro risks recede, and the K-line chart reignites just like in 2021.
We may be entering a rare 6-12 month golden window. Those who positioned early might make a fortune. You don't want to be asleep at this moment.
Let's analyze why now might be a critical time.
K-line Chart Turns Green - Strong Momentum
First, look at the weekly MACD. Bitcoin and Ethereum just confirmed a bullish crossover. Not on the daily chart - on the weekly chart! This is a trend trader's dream. Plus:
Ethereum breaks through the 200-day moving average;
Relative Strength Index (RSI) turns bullish (remember, in a true bull market, RSI can remain overbought for months);
Bitcoin easily stands above the weekly super trendline;
Ethereum is slightly lagging but catching up;
In short, technical analysis shows overall market strength. These are not weak signals - they are multiple confirmation indicators often seen before historic rallies.
M2 Money Supply Expands Again
Here's your cheat code: Bitcoin price has an 83% correlation with global M2 money supply.
When M2 (global liquidity) expands, Bitcoin surges. This isn't absolute science, but over time, you'll find the pattern. Now, M2 is rising rapidly.
The tide is rising, and Bitcoin tends to float with it. And when Bitcoin rises, the entire market takes off.
Macro Environment: From Chaos to Calm
April was brutal. Tariff wars, bond market chaos, global tensions, recession fears. Every pessimist found their stage.
But now? Peace negotiations, trade agreements, cooling inflation, positive GDP forecasts (Atlanta Fed even predicts 2.4% growth). The market has largely digested macro chaos and started looking forward.
This paves the way for:
Potentially stronger economy
Liquidity injection rather than tightening
Reduced volatility with clearer direction
And the timing is perfect - Bitcoin's four-year halving cycle suggests now is the time to act.
Institutional Funds Pouring In
This isn't just a feeling. Real forces are driving the market:
MicroStrategy continues buying Bitcoin like it's oxygen
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are online, and boomers are buying
Dozens of Altcoin ETFs may be launched soon
Crypto-supporting bills are advancing in Congress
Even the SEC seems to be easing its "witch hunt" against cryptocurrencies
This institutional alignment is something we wouldn't have dared to dream of two years ago. The US government, which once vowed to "shut down cryptocurrencies," now wants to be the center of the crypto world.
This isn't a narrative; it's a script flip.
How to Respond Correctly
Don't let enthusiasm destroy your strategy. Bull markets reward discipline, not FOMO.
Here's an action guide:
Go with the trend. Don't try to short pullbacks; now is not the time.
Buy the dips. Pullbacks are not sell signals but entry opportunities.
Set clear targets. Choose your Tokens, set limit orders, and keep some funds in reserve.
Plan your exit. You need an exit strategy; don't let profits evaporate. Selling in tranches is a good approach.
Watch macro catalysts. Next Fed meeting is in June; rate cuts might further extend the rally. But if not, be prepared for volatility.
We might see a local top in July or August - possibly around Bitcoin reaching $150,000. This isn't absolute, but based on global M2 trends, it's a reasonable scenario.
Final Thoughts
The situation is almost perfect. Weekly technical indicators strongly suggest bullish trends, M2 liquidity is rising, macro chaos is receding, and institutions are hoarding Bitcoin like prime real estate.
Such opportunities are rare. If you haven't entered, you're already late. If you're in, your task is to stick to the plan.
The bull market within the bull market may have just begun.
