Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 91%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 9%。到 5 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 53.8%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 42.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 3.7%。（金十）

Odaily星球日报讯 据 CME“美联储观察”：美联储 3 月维持利率不变的概率为 91%，降息 25 个基点的概率为 9%。到 5 月维持当前利率不变的概率为 53.8%，累计降息 25 个基点的概率为 42.5%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 3.7%。（金十）

非农公布前美联储3月维持利率不变的概率为91%

According to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in March is 91%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 9%. The probability of keeping the current rate unchanged by May is 53.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 42.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 3.7%. (Gold Ten)

Before the release of the non-farm payrolls, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 91%

Odaily Odaily News Goldman Sachs said it expects the European Central Bank's benchmark interest rate to reach 2% by June. The central bank is not expected to cut interest rates in July, while the previous forecast was a 25 basis point cut. (Jinshi Data)

Market analysis: ECB is not expected to cut interest rates in July

Here is the English translation, with '<>' content retained as is:

Fed keeps rates unchanged at 4.25% to 4.5%, says more time needed to assess inflation and impact of Trump's tariffs
Waller: Likelihood of Fed rate cut in March is low, but possible later this year
Fed officials: Trump's tariff policies pose greater inflation risks
Fed officials estimate two rate cuts possible this year

Fed Governor Waller: No rate cut in March, will consider later this year to observe the impact of Trump's tariff war on inflation

Odaily reports that the European Central Bank has lowered the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 2.5%, in line with market expectations, marking the fifth consecutive meeting with a rate cut. The main refinancing rate and the marginal lending rate have been reduced from 2.90% and 3.15% to 2.65% and 2.9%, respectively. (<金十>)