When the government becomes a "crypto whale" - the UK wants to sell Bitcoin

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Written by: Luke, Mars Finance

An Unexpected Windfall and a Tricky Dilemma

In the corridors of London's Westminster, a serious discussion about the future of national finance is being disrupted by an unexpected digital asset. British Chancellor Rachel Reeves is facing a fiscal gap of 20 billion pounds, while a forfeited Bitcoin worth over 5.4 billion pounds (approximately 7 billion US dollars) has suddenly emerged like a sleeping dragon. According to the Daily Telegraph, the UK Home Office is collaborating with the police to plan the sale of these massive crypto assets to address urgent needs.

This is not a simple asset liquidation. The appearance of these Bitcoins has pushed the British government to a historic crossroads. On one hand, injecting this "unexpected windfall" into the treasury seems to be the most direct and effective way to address current economic challenges. On the other hand, this move also exposes a profound policy contradiction. Just recently, Reeves publicly stated her intention to enhance investor confidence through "prudent rules" and to establish the UK as a global financial technology and innovation hub. A large-scale sell-off of Bitcoin, the cornerstone of the crypto world, would undoubtedly send a chaotic and potentially negative signal to the market, causing innovative companies attracted to the Thames to doubt the government's long-term commitment. This tendency to view forfeited crypto assets as a routine tool for budget補充 marks an important cognitive shift: cryptocurrencies are quietly evolving from evidence in law enforcement to an unavoidable, albeit volatile, component of national fiscal balance sheets.

The Bizarre Origin of Britain's Largest Bitcoin Case

The story of this massive wealth does not begin with cold servers or complex codes, but from a Chinese takeaway shop in southeast London. One of the protagonists, Jian Wen, lived a modest life there, with an annual declared income of less than 6,000 pounds. In 2017, her fate changed dramatically after meeting a mysterious woman using the alias "Yadi Zhang". This woman's true identity was Zhimin Qian, the mastermind behind a Ponzi scheme involving 5 billion pounds and nearly 130,000 investors, who fled to the UK with massive stolen funds.

Zhimin Qian converted the scam proceeds into Bitcoin and hired Jian Wen as her "front" to launder these digital assets into a luxurious real-world lifestyle. Jian Wen's life trajectory dramatically transformed: from a room below a takeaway shop to a Hampstead mansion with a monthly rent of 17,000 pounds, spending lavishly at Harrods and attempting to purchase top London properties worth tens of millions of pounds using Bitcoin. These inexplicably massive wealth ultimately attracted police attention. In 2018, police raided their residence, but only in 2021 did investigators fully clarify the details, discovering over 61,000 Bitcoins hidden in multiple digital wallets, creating Britain's largest crypto seizure case.

However, the ownership of these assets is far more complex than their discovery. The nearly 130,000 Chinese investors, as the original victims, have clearly requested the return of their funds. The Crown Prosecution Service (CPS) represents the state and has applied to the High Court to retain these Bitcoins, planning to convert them to the Treasury. The core controversy of this case emerges: the assets have appreciated over 20 times since seizure, rising from around 300 million pounds to 5.4 billion pounds. Should this massive appreciation be returned to the original victims or be considered UK state property? The answer to this question not only tests the UK's Proceeds of Crime Act (POCA) but will also establish a crucial legal precedent for compensating victims of similar high-volatility forfeited assets globally.

An Overlooked 40 Million Pound Contract

While public attention focuses on the ultimate destination of this wealth, a more practical and urgent issue has been brewing within the UK government: how to safely store and sell this digital gold? To address this challenge, the Home Office, through the police procurement company BlueLight Commercial, issued a tender contract worth 40 million pounds (approximately 53.7 million US dollars) for a "cryptocurrency storage and monetization framework". The contract required a single supplier to provide an end-to-end SaaS hosting and trading solution for at least four years, extendable to eight years.

However, this seemingly attractive contract was quietly terminated on July 8, 2025, due to "no acceptable bids". This failure reveals the massive gap the government faces in understanding and entering the specialized digital asset domain. The core issue lies in the payment structure: suppliers must operate on a "pure commission" model, with compensation entirely based on the asset's final "monetization" value. For any professional, regulated crypto custody institution, this is an unacceptable clause.

Institutional-level custody services, like those provided by Coinbase Custody or Anchorage Digital, are businesses involving high upfront investments and ongoing operational costs, covering cutting-edge security technologies, strict compliance processes, and massive insurance expenses. Their fee models typically involve annual fees based on Assets Under Custody (AUC) and fixed operational fees to ensure stable income covering their high risks and costs. The UK government's tender, however, demanded that the custody provider bear all security, operational, and insurance risks unpaid during potentially three to four years of legal proceedings, hoping to obtain an uncertain commission at an uncertain future point in a highly volatile market. This approach of completely transferring its risks to the service provider exposes a fundamental misunderstanding of the domain's commercial logic. The tender's failure is not a lack of market capability but a design flaw in procurement. This has placed the UK government in an awkward and dangerous position: without professional third-party custody, it has become the actual custodian of a 7 billion US dollar, globally watched potential hacking target, undoubtedly constituting a serious national security challenge.

The Sovereign's Dilemma: Reflections from Washington, Berlin, and Helsinki

The UK government's dilemma of "selling" or "not selling" is not unique. Globally, governments are exploring different ways of handling their growing crypto assets. These different path choices provide valuable references for understanding this ongoing sovereign game.

The German Federal Criminal Police Office (BKA) recently handled approximately 50,000 Bitcoins seized from a piracy movie website. They adopted a cautious "gradual liquidation" strategy, selling through multiple exchanges like Kraken and Coinbase over several weeks to avoid severe market impact. Despite professional execution, the timing was less than ideal. The German government completed its sell-off before a significant Bitcoin price rebound, with estimated missed potential earnings of 1.6 billion US dollars. Finnish Customs encountered a similar "miss the pump" predicament when selling their forfeited Bitcoins, with proceeds far lower than the asset's potential peak market value.

These cases reveal a universal phenomenon: government agencies, as market participants, are often poor "market timers". Their decision-making processes are constrained by fiscal cycles, bureaucratic procedures, and risk-averse instincts, rather than maximizing investment returns. They tend to quickly exchange highly volatile crypto assets for stable fiat currencies, a systematic behavior pattern that almost inevitably leads to value erosion. The U.S. Marshals Service, which early on auctioned off bitcoins seized from the "Silk Road" case, paid an opportunity cost of over $18.5 billion.

However, Washington's strategy is undergoing a fundamental transformation. In March 2025, the U.S. government issued an executive order officially establishing the "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve", stipulating that future seized bitcoins will be held rather than sold, positioning them as a national strategic asset. This move is profound, no longer viewing bitcoin merely as proceeds from crime, but elevating it to a status comparable to gold and strategic oil reserves. This policy shift is a correction to the past "sell low, buy high" model and a strategic layout for the future global financial landscape.

When Government Becomes a Whale: The Market Ripple Effect of 61,000 Bitcoins

Once the UK government resolves its technical and legal challenges and decides to push 61,000 bitcoins to the market, its impact will far exceed mere changes on the balance sheet. The government, as a special type of "crypto whale", has every move closely watched by the market and may trigger a chain reaction.

Although 61,000 bitcoins is a massive amount, for a mature market with daily trading volumes of tens of billions of dollars and continuous spot ETF absorption, it is technically fully capable of digesting these sell orders. Germany's experience also shows that with appropriate clearing methods, such as directly selling to institutional buyers through OTC platforms or carefully staged sales on exchanges, the direct price impact can be minimized.

However, the true impact does not come from the supply itself, but from the "signal" released by this action. The crypto market is narrative-driven. A major Western economy's government choosing to liquidate all its held bitcoins is an extremely weighty bearish narrative. Market participants might interpret it as the UK's lack of confidence in the long-term value of digital assets, or even a pessimistic forecast of its regulatory prospects. This stands in stark contrast to the positive signal sent by the U.S. establishing a strategic reserve.

Therefore, this UK sell-off will be a critical moment testing the current bitcoin market's maturity. If the market can smoothly and orderly absorb this sell-off against the backdrop of significant institutional demand and ETF capital inflows, without triggering a catastrophic price collapse, it would instead become a powerful bullish signal. It would prove to the world that the bitcoin market's depth and resilience have exceeded the influence range of any single entity, even a sovereign nation, marking a further consolidation of its status as a global macro asset.

The New "Great Game": Bitcoins on National Balance Sheets

Ultimately, how the UK handles this 5.4 billion pound worth of bitcoins is no longer a purely domestic fiscal or judicial issue. It has become a key move in a global "Great Game" about the future monetary and power landscape. The core of this game lies in the tension between "Inside Money" (such as pounds, dollars, and other fiat currencies controlled by sovereign states) and "Outside Money" (such as gold, bitcoin, and other assets independent of any single sovereign entity).

For a long time, the dollar has dominated the global financial system through its "exorbitant privilege", but this has also increasingly made it a geopolitical tool, prompting other countries to seek alternatives to protect their financial sovereignty. In this context, bitcoin, as a globalized, decentralized, and supply-fixed value storage medium, is being viewed by some countries as a potential strategic choice. The U.S. "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" plan can be interpreted as a clever defensive strategy: by incorporating bitcoin into its system, it can both hedge against traditional fiat system risks and prevent it from becoming a tool challenging dollar hegemony.

This creates a classic "prisoner's dilemma" for other countries: nations that first incorporate bitcoin into national reserves will gain huge first-mover advantages if they bet on the right direction; but as more countries join, the strategic value and potential returns for latecomers will decrease, while the risks of non-participation correspondingly increase.

Under such a grand narrative, the UK's choice to sell bitcoins for pounds is essentially a strategic decision. It represents complete trust in the existing fiat currency system and abandonment of the potential strategic value of an emerging global asset class. This is a conservative strategy focusing on the present and solving short-term problems, exchanging a scarce, global "outside asset" for an infinitely issuable, regional "inside asset".

History will remember this moment. If bitcoin's position in the global financial system continues to rise, the UK's decision today might be viewed as another short-sighted fiscal operation, following Gordon Brown's low-price sale of UK gold reserves at the turn of the century. Regardless of the outcome, London's handling of this windfall will provide a valuable, perhaps costly case study for policymakers, investors, and tech experts worldwide—about how a traditional power makes its choices in a new world built by code and consensus.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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