- Technical breakthrough: Price stabilizes on the 20-day moving average and MACD converges in a bearish direction, while the Bollinger Bands expand and volatility increases
- Institutional momentum: Spot ETFs recorded a weekly inflow of $2.7 billion, and enterprise-level BTC storage solutions are emerging
- Macroeconomic environment: The weakening of the US dollar and the boom in technology stocks have created a synergistic effect on the rise of risky assets
BTC Price Prediction
BTC technical analysis: Bullish pattern after breaking through key resistance level
According to the technical analysis of BTCC financial analyst John, the current price of BTC at 117,334.46 USDT has already stood above the 20-day moving average (109,821.61), forming a golden cross. The MACD bar chart (-1,101.89) shows that the bearish momentum continues to weaken, and the upper track of the Bollinger Band (117,481.82) has been effectively broken through and turned into support. John pointed out: "After the price broke through the historical high of 118,000, the technical side showed a strong bullish arrangement. If the callback does not break the 20-day moving average, the medium-term target can be seen in the 138,000-145,000 range."
Market frenzy: Institutional money influx pushes BTC to new all-time highs
BTCC analyst John interpreted the latest market dynamics: "US spot ETFs had a net inflow of $2.7 billion in a single week (led by BlackRock/Fidelity), which formed a perfect storm with the tech stock boom." It is worth noting that the German government's premature sale of $3 billion in BTC missed the subsequent gains, which instead verified the effectiveness of the HODL strategy. John added: "Animoca Brands and other institutions have established a $100 million BTC reserve, indicating that corporate balance sheets are undergoing a cryptocurrency transformation, which will be a source of sustained demand."
Key factors affecting BTC prices
Bitcoin breaks through $118,000, setting a new record as high-tech stocks surge and drive the cryptocurrency wave
Bitcoin’s rally to a record high of $118,000 on Friday was closely tied to its correlation with high-flying technology stocks. The rally coincided with Nvidia’s market value surpassing $4 trillion, showing that the correlation between digital assets and the tech sector continues to deepen.
The Nasdaq Composite Index closed at a record high on Wednesday, and the S&P 500 Index approached an all-time high on Thursday, providing support for the crypto market. "The historical correlation between Bitcoin and technology stocks remains the key narrative that dominates the market," said Nic Puckrin, an analyst at Coin Bureau. The year-to-date increase is more than 21%, thanks to Trump-era policies that support cryptocurrency adoption, including the federal government's holding of Bitcoin reserves.
PeppersTONe strategist Dilin Wu believes that institutional capital inflows are the main driving force, and cites the expansion of the balance sheets of MicroStrategy and GameStop as evidence. Trump Media Group submitted an application for a crypto blue-chip ETF, which further shows that corporate participation is increasing.
ETF Analyst Eric Balchunas Hit Back at Gold Diehards as Bitcoin Hits All-Time High
Bitcoin’s surge to a record high above $118,000 has reignited the debate between cryptocurrency supporters and gold traditionalists. ETF analyst Eric Balchunas stressed that tensions are rising as Bitcoin becomes increasingly established in mainstream finance, challenging gold’s historical position as the ultimate safe-haven asset.
The discussion quickly escalated when gold enthusiast Debra Robinson dismissed Bitcoin’s valuation as an “artificial number,” prompting a swift rebuttal from crypto investors. Pres TON Pysh in turn questioned the auditability of gold-backed ETFs, while macro strategist Lyn Alden proposed a compromise: gold holders could allocate 5% of their portfolios to Bitcoin to hedge against its growing market share.
Market observers point to an uneven adoption pattern -- many gold investors now hold bitcoin, but few bitcoin maximalists diversify into precious metals. The asymmetry reflects bitcoin's stunning performance and the growing conviction among crypto natives that digital assets will redefine 21st-century finance.
Satoshi Nakamoto ranks 11th on the world's richest list with $129 billion in Bitcoin assets
Bitcoin's anonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto now ranks 11th on the Forbes real-time billionaires list with an estimated $129 billion worth of BTC holdings. This figure surpasses Michael Dell's $124.8 billion net worth, but is still lower than Google co-founder Sergey Brin's $141.1 billion.
This milestone highlights the extraordinary appreciation of Bitcoin since its creation. To surpass the current richest man, Elon Musk ($401.2 billion), the price of a single Bitcoin would need to reach $366,241 - nearly six times the current price. When Bitcoin reaches $128,743, Satoshi Nakamoto will surpass Bernard Arnault of LVMH Group.
This valuation uses the exchange rate of the Bitstamp exchange to show how cryptocurrency wealth indicators are reshaping traditional financial rankings. The analysis assumes that Satoshi Nakamoto still holds the 1 million BTC rumored to have been mined in the early days.
Bitcoin surge drives $10 billion crypto venture capital recovery
In the second quarter of 2025, venture capital poured back into the cryptocurrency market, with investments reaching $10 billion, the highest single-quarter record since the peak in 2022. This wave of recovery coincides with Bitcoin's continued stability at the $100,000 mark, indicating that institutional investors' risk appetite is recovering after years of waiting.
In June alone, $5.14 billion was invested, the strongest monthly inflow in three years. Major transactions included Strive Funds' $750 million Bitcoin Strategy Fund and TwentyOne Capital 's $585 million fundraising. Infrastructure companies such as Securitize ($400 million) and Auradine ($153 million) also received significant capital injections.
Coinbase Ventures became the most active investor with 25 deals, surpassing competitors Pantera Capital and Andreessen Horowitz. Paradigm performed well in lead deals, while GALA xy Digital completed a $175 million fund raising - exceeding the target. This wave of funds shows that the market has regained confidence in the construction stage of crypto infrastructure.
U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF attracted $2.7 billion in a single week, with BlackRock and Fidelity leading the way
Bitcoin investment products continue to dominate institutional fund flows, with US spot ETFs absorbing a total of $2.7175 billion this week. BlackRock's IBIT fund accounted for nearly 65% of the total with $1.759 billion, consolidating its category leadership.
Fidelity’s F BTC attracted $399 million, while Ark Invest’s ARKB saw $339.1 million inflows. The concentrated demand for these three products highlights the growing preference of institutional investors for established asset management companies in the cryptocurrency space.
Bitcoin breaks through $118,000 mark, slightly up on the day
Bitcoin broke through the psychological barrier of $118,000, with the price of a single coin reaching $118,016.00, up 0.94% on the day. This trend reflects the continued bullish sentiment in the cryptocurrency market, although the increase is relatively mild compared to recent fluctuations.
OKX data from EuroEasy shows that the asset is climbing steadily, with traders keeping a close eye on potential resistance levels. If buying pressure persists, a break above this psychological barrier could signal further upward momentum.
DDC and Animoca Brands Launch $100M Bitcoin Treasury Partnership
DDC Enterprise Limited has entered into a strategic alliance with Animoca Brands through a non-binding Memorandum of Understanding with the goal of optimizing Bitcoin treasury management. The agreement involves Animoca allocating $100 million in BTC to be managed by DDC to implement yield enhancement strategies. This collaboration marks an important step in institutional Bitcoin adoption, combining traditional corporate finance with digital asset innovation.
The partnership established the Bitcoin Vision Committee, co-chaired by Animoca’s Yat Siu, to oversee treasury strategy and long-term digital asset planning. This governance structure reflects the growing institutional demand for Bitcoin as a treasury asset, with risk-managed yield generation as a core focus.
Corporate Bitcoin strategies are gaining momentum as public companies seek investment opportunities in digital assets. DDC’s deal with Animoca offers a potential blueprint for institutional cryptocurrency adoption, combining Animoca’s Web3 expertise with DDC’s treasury management capabilities.
Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC rises as dollar weakens – could it hit $300,000 this year?
Bitcoin held steady at $117,761, up 8% for the week, while the U.S. dollar index weakened. The Wall Street Journal Dollar Index closed at 94.73, down 10.4% from its 2022 peak, and funds are pouring into crypto assets. Technical indicators show that BTC has broken out of a symmetrical triangle, with key support at $116,951 and the 50-period moving average at $110,527. Momentum remains strong, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 75.5.
The Fed's divergent stance on interest rates has brought macroeconomic uncertainty, and the ETF's expectations have fueled the bull market for Bitcoin. The current target prices are $121,300, $124,600 and $127,600 respectively.
Germany sells $3 billion of Bitcoin and misses out on gains as El Salvador's HODL strategy works
The German government liquidated nearly 50,000 Bitcoins at an average price of $57,900, claiming to "avoid significant loss of value", but the result was the opposite of what it wanted. With the current price of Bitcoin approaching $118,000, this move cost taxpayers nearly $3 billion in unrealized gains. Although the sell-off briefly affected the market, demand quickly absorbed the selling pressure.
Meanwhile, El Salvador’s steadfast commitment to making Bitcoin legal tender continues to pay off. President Nayib Bukele’s accumulation strategy has generated more than $400 million in paper gains on his 6,230 Bitcoin holdings since 2021. The difference between the two national strategies highlights how an institution’s approach to crypto assets can make or break a business.
It is worth noting that Tether ’s $120 billion U.S. Treasury bond portfolio now exceeds the German government’s holdings, generating $1 billion in gains in Q1 alone—a stark contrast to the stagnation of the German economy. As Berlin authorities struggle with two consecutive years of GDP decline, their decision to exit Bitcoin too early could become a negative example of sovereign asset management.
Smart wallet 0x5f6 made a profit of $1.82 million from WBTC transactions, with a monthly return rate of up to 12.3%
A savvy investor identified as Clever Money 0x5f6 recently realized a massive profit of $1.822 million from a WBTC transaction. The entity sold 141.77 WBTC at an average price of $117,334 per coin, marking a 12.3% return in just one month.
The initial investment amount of $104,478 underscores the bold yet calculated strategy adopted by the trader. The transaction was confirmed by on-chain analyst Ai, highlighting the increasingly sophisticated trading methods of cryptocurrency market participants.
SIM swap scammer gets 12 years in prison for stealing $22 million in crypto
Nicholas Truglia was sentenced to an enhanced 12-year prison term by U.S. District Judge Alvin Hellerstein on July 12 after failing to compensate his victims. The ruling highlights the serious consequences of cryptocurrency-related scams.
Truglia pleaded guilty in 2021 to participating in a sophisticated scheme to defraud Michael Terpin, founder of blockchain consulting firm Trans FORM Group. The operation hijacked Terpin's mobile phone number by deceiving telecommunications employees, allowing unauthorized access to his cryptocurrency assets. Court documents show that Truglia was specifically responsible for converting the stolen assets into Bitcoin.
The ruling underscores the growing scrutiny of cryptocurrency crime, particularly cases involving identity manipulation, and with $20.4 million in damages still outstanding, the case sets a precedent for financial responsibility in digital asset thefts.
BTC Price Prediction: Outlook for 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040
BTCC analyst John proposed a phased forecasting model:
| year | Baseline Forecast (USDT) | Optimistic scenario | Key drivers |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 145,000-165,000 | 180,000+ | Spot ETF approved the second phase, supply tightening after halving |
| 2030 | 420,000-480,000 | 650,000+ | Global liquidity reset, sovereign wealth fund allocation |
| 2035 | 1.2M-1.8M | 3.5M+ | Bitcoin becomes a global reserve asset and energy hedging tool |
| 2040 | 3.5M-5M | 8M+ | Fully embodying the attributes of digital gold, the circulation volume is less than 1% of gold |
John emphasized: "The target of 300,000 within the year depends on whether the US dollar index falls below the 90 mark. The current accumulation speed of institutions shows that this target is reasonable. However, investors should pay attention to the possibility of a healthy correction of 20-30% in the short term."
