PANews 6月18日消息，据Matrixport分析，过去18个月，全球流动性变化多次提前反映比特币走势，被视为重要的“先行指标”。然而，随着市场结构演化，该模型的预测效力正在减弱，需持续验证和动态调整。
目前，比特币价格在105,000至110,000美元区间震荡，与该模型提示的13周滞后节奏基本一致。若相关性持续有效，比特币需守住当前支撑区间，方能维持上涨预期，并可能在今年夏末进一步攀升至...

<img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/feed/a104735a013dbb53abcce4faac1947b5.jpg">PANews 6月18日消息，据Matrixport分析，过去18个月，全球流动性变化多次提前反映比特币走势，被视为重要的“先行指标”。然而，随着市场结构演化，该模型的预测效力正在减弱，需持续验证和动态调整。目前，比特币价格在105,000至110,000美元区间震荡，与该模型提示的13周滞后节奏基本一致。若相关性持续有效，比特币需守住当前支撑区间，方能维持上涨预期，并可能在今年夏末进一步攀升至14万美元。

分析：比特币需守住当前支撑区间方能维持上涨预期，今年夏末或将攀升至14万美元

<PANews> News on June 18th, according to Matrixport's analysis, global liquidity changes have repeatedly reflected Bitcoin's trend in advance over the past 18 months, and are considered an important "leading indicator". However, as the market structure evolves, the predictive power of this model is weakening and requires continuous verification and dynamic adjustment.

Currently, Bitcoin's price is oscillating in the range of $105,000 to $110,000, which is basically consistent with the 13-week lag rhythm suggested by the model. If the correlation remains valid, Bitcoin needs to maintain its current support interval to maintain the upward expectation and may further climb to... by the end of this summer.

<img src="https://static.fwimg.io/img/feed/a104735a013dbb53abcce4faac1947b5.jpg">PANews reported on June 18 that according to Matrixport's analysis, global liquidity changes have repeatedly reflected Bitcoin's trend in advance over the past 18 months, and have been viewed as an important "leading indicator". However, as the market structure evolves, the predictive power of this model is weakening and requires continuous verification and dynamic adjustment.Currently, Bitcoin's price is oscillating in the range of $105,000 to $110,000, which is basically consistent with the 13-week lag rhythm suggested by the model. If the correlation remains effective, Bitcoin needs to maintain its current support interval to maintain the upward expectation and may further rise to $140,000 by the end of this summer.

Analysis: Bitcoin needs to hold the current support range to maintain the upward trend, and may climb to $140,000 by the end of this summer

Odaily Planet Daily News: James Wynn posted on <X> platform, suggesting that Bitcoin might first explore downward to $93,000-$95,000 before further rising, and the market may face some volatility. He advises cautiously protecting positions to avoid liquidation.

James Wynn: BTC may drop to $93,000-95,000 before going higher

I. Legislative Negotiation: From Political Whirlpool to Financial Revolution
[Market]
Source: United States Senate

In June 2025, the United States Senate passed the <GENIUS Act> (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation of U.S. Stablecoin Act) with a vote of 68 to 30. This six-week political negotiation not only ended the dispute between the Trump family and global free financial stablecoins but also marked a historic step in U.S. cryptocurrency regulation. The core objective of the bill directly targets the compliance and mainstreaming of stablecoins—requiring all payment-type stablecoins to be backed by 1:1 high-liquidity assets (such as U.S. dollar cash...

Regulatory ice-breaking! The U.S. Senate passed the GENIUS Stablecoin Act by a vote of 68 to 30. Will Bitcoin hit a new high?

<Odaily> Planet Daily News: The Bitfinex Alpha report points out: Bitcoin showed a strong rebound early this week, rising 4.7% from the opening price, and briefly retested its previous historical high of $109,590. However, after Israel's unexpected attack on Iran on June 13 triggered a global market crash, optimistic sentiment was quickly replaced by risk-averse sentiment. Bitcoin gave up most of its early gains, dropping 7.33% and closing lower for the week, as rising oil prices and macroeconomic uncertainty severely affected investor sentiment. This event highlights how even strong trends can quickly deviate from their path due to external shocks, especially in a hot market. 

Beneath the surface, traders' behavior reveals growing pressure. Bitcoin's net buying volume plummeted to -$197 million (see chart below), the lowest level since June 6, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market and are selling BTC at market prices. However, this selloff, coupled with a surge in liquidations, is similar to past capitulation-style selloffs—which typically mark a local market bottom. If Bitcoin can hold the $102,000 to $103,000 range, it may indicate that selling pressure is being absorbed and the market may be preparing for a recovery—provided geopolitical risks do not further escalate.