BTC Price Prediction: Bullish Trends Amid Volatility

#BTC

• Technical Outlook: BTC shows neutral-to-bullish signals with key resistance at $110,689.62.
• Market Sentiment: Record mining profits and institutional interest offset geopolitical risks.
• Investment Strategy: Accumulate on dips, targeting long-term growth amid volatility.

BTC Price Prediction

BTC Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst John, Bitcoin''s current price of $105,005.96 is slightly below its 20-day moving average (MA) of $106,245.33, indicating a potential consolidation phase. The MACD (12,26,9) shows a bearish crossover with a value of -339.5322, suggesting short-term downward pressure. However, the Bollinger Bands reveal that BTC is trading closer to the middle band ($106,245.33), with support at $101,801.04 and resistance at $110,689.62. John notes that a break above the upper band could signal a bullish reversal.

Market Sentiment: Mixed Signals Amid Record Profits and Geopolitical Tensions

BTCC financial analyst John highlights that Bitcoin mining companies are thriving with record profits, a bullish signal for BTC''s long-term value. However, geopolitical turmoil and debates over Bitcoin''s ''safe haven'' status (e.g., Peter Schiff''s criticism) are creating short-term uncertainty. Positive developments like Trump Media''s SEC approval for a Bitcoin treasury plan and Pakistan''s mining initiatives counterbalance bearish headlines. John emphasizes that the overall sentiment leans cautiously optimistic, aligning with technical indicators.

Factors Influencing BTC’s Price

Bitcoin Mining Companies Thrive with Record Profits in 2025

US-based Bitcoin mining companies reported one of their best quarters on record in Q1 2025, according to a JPMorgan analysis. The sector saw gross profits surge to $2 billion, up from $1.7 billion the previous quarter, with average gross margins expanding to 53%. Rising Bitcoin prices and institutional interest fueled the rebound.

MARA Holdings maintained its position as the top Bitcoin producer for the ninth consecutive quarter, though at a high average cost of $72,600 per coin. IREN emerged as the standout performer in gross profitability, signaling shifting competitive dynamics within the industry.

The results underscore mining''s maturation into a financially sustainable sector. With margins improving even as production scales, public miners appear well-positioned to capitalize on Bitcoin''s growing institutional adoption.

Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid Geopolitical Turmoil and Trade Tensions

Bitcoin demonstrated resilience despite escalating Middle East conflicts and global trade war anxieties, trading at $105,100 with a modest 0.22% decline. The cryptocurrency''s price action remained contained within a $2,090 range, bouncing from $104,220 to $106,135. Asian trading sessions saw the most volatility, with BTC briefly dipping below $104,200 before recovering on strong volume.

Geopolitical risks dominated market sentiment as the Israel-Iran conflict raised fears of regional spillover. Combined with U.S. trade tensions, these developments triggered over $1.1 billion in crypto liquidations. Yet Bitcoin''s ability to maintain higher lows suggests underlying strength. Traders are closely watching the $105,000 support level and $106,000 resistance for directional clues.

The market structure indicates consolidation rather than reversal. A sustained hold above $104,950 could pave the way for another test of $106,200. Bitcoin''s performance amid traditional market uncertainty continues to validate its growing role as a hedge against geopolitical risk.

Peter Schiff Challenges Bitcoin’s Status as a ''Safe Haven'' Amid Market Volatility

Gold advocate Peter Schiff has reignited the debate over Bitcoin''s reliability as a safe-haven asset, pointing to its recent underperformance compared to gold during global economic turbulence. Gold prices have surged to near-record levels, while Bitcoin has faced significant price declines, raising questions about its stability.

Schiff argues that Bitcoin''s volatility undermines its credibility as a hedge against market risks. "Gold prices are almost at record levels, yet Bitcoin fails to show the same resilience against economic fluctuations," he remarked. The contrasting trajectories of the two assets highlight ongoing skepticism about Bitcoin''s role in risk-off environments.

The discussion emerges as investors increasingly seek refuge in traditional safe havens like gold, leaving cryptocurrencies to grapple with perceptions of speculative excess. Schiff''s critique underscores a broader divide between proponents of established stores of value and advocates of digital asset adoption.

Trump Media Gets SEC Approval for Bitcoin Treasury Plan

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has declared Trump Media and Technology Group Corp.''s Form S-3 registration statement effective, greenlighting the company''s Bitcoin treasury strategy. CEO Devin Nunes emphasized aggressive expansion plans, including integrating Bitcoin into its financial ecosystem alongside social media and streaming platforms.

This move signals institutional validation of Bitcoin as a treasury asset, reinforcing the cryptocurrency''s role as an inflation hedge. Over 235 institutions already hold 3.4 million BTC, according to BitcoinTreasuries data. The SEC''s approval aligns with broader U.S. efforts to establish clear crypto regulations, potentially accelerating corporate adoption.

Bitcoin’s Price Aspiration: Data-Driven Predictions Signal Bullish Trend

Bitcoin''s recent upward trajectory has reignited interest in predictive models, with analysts leveraging on-chain data and cycle timing tools to forecast future valuations. The Terminal Price model, grounded in on-chain activity, currently projects a cycle peak near $221,000—a figure that would represent a significant milestone for the flagship cryptocurrency.

Historical models like Delta Top offer more conservative estimates, having accurately predicted the $80,000-$100,000 range in previous cycles. These diverging projections underscore the inherent volatility of crypto markets, where even data-backed forecasts require careful interpretation.

Market observers emphasize that while valuation frameworks provide useful guidance, Bitcoin''s price discovery remains fundamentally unpredictable. The asset''s maturation continues to attract both institutional interest and speculative trading, creating a dynamic where technical models serve as compasses rather than maps.

Pakistan Repurposes Idle Power for Bitcoin Mining and AI Infrastructure

Pakistan is channeling its untapped electricity—roughly 2 gigawatts, or one-seventh of its generation capacity—into powering Bitcoin mining rigs and AI servers. The move addresses grid inefficiencies and creates a new revenue stream by converting surplus energy into digital assets and exportable computing power.

Aging thermal stations will be retrofitted to host crypto-mining farms and AI-focused data centers under a program launching this year. The initiative aims to reduce ''capacity charges'' paid to underutilized plants while positioning Pakistan for blockchain and AI innovation.

Long-term plans include integrating solar, wind, and hydropower to support the digital economy sustainably. The strategy could alleviate financial strain on utilities and propel Pakistan into the global race for high-value computing infrastructure.

Short-Seller Chanos Clashes with MicroStrategy''s Saylor Over Bitcoin Valuation Debate

The ongoing dispute between prominent short-seller Jim Chanos and MicroStrategy executive chairman Michael Saylor has intensified, centering on the company''s premium valuation tied to its Bitcoin holdings. Chanos, in a Bloomberg TV interview, dismissed Saylor as a "wonderful salesman" and argued that MicroStrategy''s market value should not exceed the underlying worth of its Bitcoin assets.

MicroStrategy has aggressively accumulated Bitcoin by raising capital through equity and debt offerings. Recently, the firm shifted tactics, opting to sell preferred stock rather than convertible bonds or common stock to fund further crypto purchases. Chanos sees an arbitrage opportunity, suggesting traders short MSTR stock while buying Bitcoin directly to capitalize on the narrowing premium.

The debate underscores broader questions about how traditional markets value crypto-centric corporations. MicroStrategy''s stock currently trades at a significant premium to its Bitcoin holdings—a dynamic Chanos believes is unsustainable. Meanwhile, Saylor maintains his bullish stance, positioning the company as a proxy for Bitcoin exposure.

Crypto Markets Expect Gains as Economic Winds Shift

Projections for the second half of 2025 anticipate a rise in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrency asset prices. David Duong, Head of Global Research at Coinbase, underscores the potential for growth within the U.S. economy amid evolving macroeconomic conditions. Recession risks, once a dominant concern, have receded according to recent data.

Duong predicts crypto markets may bottom out in the first half of 2025 before reaching new peaks later in the year. May''s price movements haven''t altered long-term targets. Market-friendly policies emerging in U.S. politics could boost risk appetite, with a new legal budget package potentially taking effect by summer''s end.

The interest curve for 10-30 year U.S. Treasury bonds may face significant shifts due to government spending plans. This could drive capital toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies as investors seek SAFE havens.

How A Turbulent Israel-Iran Incident Shakes Financial Markets

Following the recent Tunhan attack between Israel and Iran, financial markets experienced significant volatility. Cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, saw sharp declines, raising questions about their role as a safe haven asset. Investors are reassessing their exposure to digital assets amid heightened geopolitical risks.

The conflict''s ripple effects extended beyond crypto, impacting traditional stocks and commodities. Market analysts note that Middle East tensions historically trigger brief but intense fluctuations across asset classes. This episode reinforces the need for robust risk management strategies in volatile markets.

Regulatory concerns resurfaced as rapid price movements highlighted crypto''s sensitivity to global events. Institutional players are increasingly factoring geopolitical risk into their digital asset allocation models. The market reaction underscores the growing interconnection between geopolitical stability and financial markets worldwide.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Drop To $105k Divides Crypto Traders: What Next?

Bitcoin''s price fell over 3% to $105k amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, dragging the broader crypto market down with it. Altcoins mirrored the decline, erasing $1.1 billion from leveraged positions within 24 hours. Traders remain split—some see opportunity, others await clearer signals.

Meanwhile, stablecoins thrive under favorable U.S. regulations, attracting institutional capital and boosting market liquidity. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan predicts a consolidation phase ahead of a year-end rally: "This is the ''Summer of Accumulation''—a chance to build positions before the next leg up."

Technical charts suggest Bitcoin''s recent rally, fueled by resolved trade wars, may be entering a cooling-off period. The market now watches for whether this dip becomes a buying opportunity or the start of deeper correction.

U.S. Bitcoin Miners Achieve Record $2B Q1 Profits Amid BTC Price Surge

JPMorgan''s latest analysis reveals a watershed moment for Bitcoin mining. U.S.-listed miners generated $2 billion in gross profits during Q1 2025, riding the wave of Bitcoin''s sustained $105,000 average price. Gross margins expanded to 53%, demonstrating remarkable sector resilience despite escalating energy costs and network difficulty.

The institutional adoption wave continues to buoy miner economics. Four of five tracked companies posted record revenue, with operational upgrades and efficient infrastructure offsetting rising expenses. ''This isn''t just a price story - it''s about industrial-scale operators optimizing for institutional-grade returns,'' noted a senior JPMorgan analyst.

While the report flags persistent energy market risks, the mining sector shows unprecedented maturity. The $100K+ BTC price floor created ideal conditions, but the real story lies in how miners converted favorable markets into sustainable margins. This performance sets a new benchmark for crypto-native industries.

Is BTC a good investment?

John from BTCC suggests BTC remains a compelling investment despite short-term volatility. Key factors include:

With strong institutional adoption (e.g., mining profits, SEC approvals) and macroeconomic shifts favoring crypto, John recommends dollar-cost averaging for long-term holders.