When the gods fight, retail investors suffer—how did the “war of words” between Musk and Trump evaporate billions of dollars in market value?

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MarsBit
2 days ago
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On June 6, 2025, what should have been an ordinary trading day was suddenly stirred up by an intense confrontation between two globally prominent figures. On one side was the "Iron Man" of the tech world, Elon Musk, the helm of Tesla and SpaceX; on the other side was the U.S. President and politically charismatic figure, Donald Trump. The two engaged in a heated exchange on the social platform X (formerly Twitter), quickly igniting public opinion. Unexpectedly, this seemingly "divine battle" directly triggered a "avalanche" in the cryptocurrency market, with mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum plummeting, massive funds evaporating instantly, and countless investors being forcibly liquidated in shock.

This inevitably raises the question: How can a mere online verbal battle possess such enormous energy, capable of shaking the cryptocurrency kingdom worth hundreds of billions of dollars? Is this merely an extreme manifestation of the "KOL shill" effect, or does it expose a deeper vulnerability in the crypto market?


Igniting the Flames: From "Allies" to "Enemies", a Long-Brewing Eruption

The public fallout between Musk and Trump was not a sudden occurrence. Looking back, they once displayed a certain "allied" stance, with Musk even participating in some advisory committees of the Trump administration. However, as time passed, potential differences gradually surfaced, ultimately fully erupting in June 2025.

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In this escalating verbal battle, Stephen Bannon, Trump's former senior advisor and chief strategist, also joined the fray, calling for Musk's deportation, stating, "They should launch a formal investigation into his immigration status because I firmly believe he is an illegal immigrant who should be immediately deported." Bannon also urged the Trump administration to cancel all government contracts with Musk's companies and investigate his alleged drug use.

Musk did not back down, firing back at Trump's "ingratitude" on the X platform, saying: "Trump is so ungrateful. Without me, Trump would have lost the election, the Democrats would have controlled the House, and the Republican seats in the Senate would have dropped from 51 to 49." This statement reveals Musk's frustration at feeling unappreciated for his past support of Trump.

This conflict, which evolved from policy disagreements to personnel friction and then to an open confrontation over core legislation, ultimately transformed into a full-scale online warfare filled with "dirt", threats, and personal attacks, with an intensity and scope rarely seen. The shockwaves from these two globally influential public figures attacking each other quickly transcended personal grievances and directly agitated the sensitive financial markets.

Domino Effect: Why Did the Crypto Market Collapse?

As the "Twitter war" between Musk and Trump reached a fever pitch, the cryptocurrency market simultaneously experienced a dramatic downturn. On June 6th, Bitcoin's price briefly fell below $101,000, with a 24-hour decline of 2.81%; Ethereum dropped below $2,400, with a 24-hour decline of 6.5%. According to Coinglass data, liquidations in the past 24 hours reached a staggering $968 million, with long positions accounting for the majority at $880 million. Over 220,000 investors were liquidated during this crash, with the largest single liquidation of $10 million occurring on BitMEX's XBTUSD contract. Alternative data also showed the crypto fear and greed index plummeting from 57 (greed) to 45 (fear), clearly indicating a market sentiment reversal.

Whale James Wynn's experience became a microcosm of this market turbulence. After Musk and Trump began arguing, Bitcoin's price drop forced Wynn to be automatically liquidated of 379 Bitcoin positions at 1 AM. He subsequently chose to actively clear his remaining positions, ultimately losing $2.9 million on his long BTC trade. Notably, this investor had been profitable by $87 million just two weeks ago, and now is left with only $700,000, having suffered a $20.5 million loss.

So why could the dispute between these two KOLs have such an immediate and destructive impact on the crypto market?

First, the celebrity effect and extreme amplification of market sentiment were the primary reasons. Musk himself was once the "#1 crypto shiller", with his tweets about Doge and other cryptocurrencies often causing dramatic market fluctuations. Though Trump wasn't as deeply involved in specific crypto projects, as a former US president, his words still significantly influence market sentiment. When these two high-profile, high-traffic individuals engage in intense conflict, especially involving government contract cancellations, economic recession predictions, and even sensitive topics like the "Epstein list", the shockwaves naturally transmit quickly to the crypto market, which is highly information-sensitive and emotion-driven. Investors' panic was rapidly ignited and amplified, leading to irrational selling behavior.

Second, high-leverage trading and the vicious cycle of chain liquidations exacerbated the market's decline. The cryptocurrency market, especially derivatives, widely uses high-leverage trading. When the market experiences adverse fluctuations and prices drop to a certain point, high-leverage long positions trigger forced liquidations. Large-scale forced liquidations create significant selling pressure, further depressing prices and triggering more position liquidations, forming a vicious cycle. James Wynn's experience is a typical example. The $968 million in liquidations clearly reveal the massive destructive power of leveraged trading during market downturns.

Furthermore, market concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty also played a catalyzing role. The Musk-Trump dispute wasn't just personal grievance but touched on macro-level issues like US economic policies and government contract stability. Musk's predictions about economic recession and Trump's threats to cancel government contracts for companies like SpaceX undoubtedly intensified market concerns about future economic prospects and policy stability. Such uncertainty would prompt investors to shift towards safe-haven assets and withdraw funds from the high-risk crypto market. Tesla's stock price dropped 17% intraday, losing about $100 billion in market value, while Trump Media & Technology Group's stock fell 7.82%, reflecting market negative expectations about the potential business and economic impacts of this dispute.

Notably, on the day of these dramatic events, the broader financial market itself also displayed complex emotions. For instance, on the morning of June 6th, US stocks initially rebounded strongly due to news of a US-China leadership call, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rising nearly 1%. Robinhood's stock surged on rumors of potential inclusion in the S&P 500, temporarily exceeding Coinbase's market value. Simultaneously, Circle's stock price surged nearly threefold on its first day of listing, showing strong market interest in compliant stablecoin tracks. These positive signals contrasted with the crypto market's panic, indicating that the market decline was not the result of a single factor but an emotional release under the influence of multiple forces.

On-Chain Ripples: Subtle Signals from Whales and Long-Term Holders

Before Musk and Trump's heated verbal exchange became the market focus, on-chain data had already transmitted some noteworthy signals, subtly suggesting that internal market fragility might have been accumulating. These signals, like undercurrents beneath the surface, might have made the crypto market more vulnerable to external shocks.

Here's the English translation:

A notable observation comes from on-chain data analyst Mr. Beg @market_beggar monitoring the whale movements in the ETH/BTC trading pair on Bitfinex exchange. Data shows that before the dispute, this long-term whale holding a large amount of ETH had been accelerating its liquidation process. For example, on June 5th, the whale liquidated approximately 80,000 ETH again, reducing its holdings to around 450,000 ETH. Compared to its peak holdings (around 1.07 million), this figure has significantly decreased and is gradually approaching its early position of around 100,000 ETH. Market analysts point out that reviewing 11 similar whale liquidation cases from 2020 to now, almost every liquidation was followed by a notable decline in the ETH/BTC exchange rate, often accompanied by a more significant price correction of ETH relative to BTC. Historical data indicates that the ETH/BTC exchange rate dropped by an average of 25% to 35% after liquidation, with ETH's price against USDT also showing significant declines. Although the market does not "immediately" drop after liquidation, and the decline duration varies, this historical pattern undoubtedly casts a shadow over the market, suggesting potential selling pressure on Ethereum.

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For investors, this sudden plunge is undoubtedly a profound risk education lesson. While chasing high returns, one must fully recognize the high volatility and potential risks of the cryptocurrency market wmarket, be wagainst be the irrational bubble brought by the celebrity effect, maintain a deep reverence for leveraged trading, and appropriately pay attention deep to-such as-other deep market signals.

After the noise, down, the market will eventually return to rationality. However, the argument between Muskusk and the phenomena it reveals, landmark willundoubtedly be written landmark into the books of of the cryptocurrency market and even the entire financial technology field as a landmark a landmark event. It reminds us that in this era full of transformation, and risk awareness, perhaps more important than at any other time.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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